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Oscar 2010: Indicados e Previsões


MacGruber
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avatar indicado a roteiro... hehe

kmf: "Achei que o AVATAR do Cameron sugere um filme da Xuxa feito por técnicos competentes."

                                                            lollollol

 

Esse Mendonça é um palhaço... Gostaria de ver a cara dele se Cameron fosse merecidamente anunciado entre os finalistas da categoria.

 

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title_trans.gif

 

 

statistics:

reflect acting categories only, # of films is approximate and excludes tv,

shorts and voicework

 

color code: green

(lock) yellow (safe bet) red (in the mix) blue (longshot)

 

 

Best Actress Predictions December 20th

 

Combined

shunnings from the BFCA, Golden Globe and SAG precursor rounds have dealt

a death blow to several contenders. The race went from several people

deep to basically five "sure things". It's hard to imagine one

of these candidates snubbed ...but... you never know. Academy members

do have almost a month to cool on any of these five women that the precursors

have lifted up on sturdy looking pedestals.

But

maybe Mirren is vulnerable given the not-really-released film? Seriously.

If the Academy governing body was really as concerned as they pretend

to be with the Oscars being too inaccessible to the American public a

great place to start would be too tighten the rules as to which films

are eligible. Like... easy fix: You have to have a real release within

the calendar year to qualify. Not a half ass one in theater in LA type

of release. Seriously, it'd be a good start as a fix.

discuss @

blog

Meryl

Streep

 

"Julia Child"

 

Julie & Julia

Carey

Mulligan

 

"Jenny"

 

An Education

Gabourey

Sidibe

 

"Claireece 'Precious' Jones"

 

Precious

Sandra

Bullock

 

"Leigh Ann Touhey"

 

The Blind Side

Helen

Mirren

 

Countess Tolstoy

 

The Last Station

osc_streep.jpg

osc_mulligan.jpg

osc_sidibe.jpg

osc_bullock.jpg

osc_mirren.jpg

1

2

3

4

5

60

years old

 

43 films

 

15 noms / 2 wins

prev

rank:

 

1,1,1,1,1, (*supp)

Other

Awards

 

(wins) New York, NY Online, San Fran,

SE, Boston (noms) SAG, Globe, BFCA, Satellite

 

Release

 

Aug 7th

 

Box Office

 

$94,000,000

 

Company

 

Sony/Columbia

 

Role

 

Real Person Alert! Julia Child,

American icon, famous chef

More

On...

 

Streep

| Julie

& Julia

24

years old

 

6 films

 

never nominated

prev

rank: 3,3,2,2,2,1,1,1

Other

Awards

 

(wins) NBR, Toronto, AWFJ, Dallas, Indiana,

 

DC (noms) Globe, SAG, BFCA, Satellite

 

Release

 

Oct 16th

 

Box Office

 

$6,000,000

 

Company

 

Sony Pictures Classics

 

Role

 

Jenny, a precocious schoolgirl in 60s London. 'not a girl not yet

a woman'

More

On...

 

Carey

| An

Education

26

years old

 

1st film

 

never nominated

prev

rank: 2,2,3,3,5,4,3,21

 

 

 

Other Awards

 

(noms) Globe, SAG, BFCA, Spirit

 

Release

 

Nov 16th

 

Box Office

 

$39,000,000

 

Company

 

Lionsgate

 

Role

 

Claireece, a pregnant illiterate abused teenager in 80s Harlem

More

On...

 

Precious

 

45 years old

 

36 films

 

never nominated

prev:

5,8,-,-,-,-,-,-

Other

Awards

 

(noms) Globe, SAG, BFCA

 

Release

 

Nov 20th

 

Box Office

 

$149,000,000

 

Company

 

Warner Bros

 

Role

 

Real Person Alert! Leigh Anne Touhy,

interior designer, Republican, adoptive parent

 

 

 

More On...

 

Sandra

64

years old

 

49 films

 

3 noms / 1 win

prev:

4,4,5,6,*

Other

Awards

 

(noms) Globe, SAG, Spirit

 

Release

 

n/a

 

Box Office

 

n/a

 

Company

 

Sony Pictures Classics

 

Role

 

Real Person Alert! Countess

Sofya Tolstoy, devoted wife and peerless drama queen

 

 

 

More On...

 

Mirren|

Last

Station

 

The

Long Shots

 

And speculative guesswork about what they would need to make

it in...

 

 

Marion

Cotillard

 

"Luisia Contini"

 

Nine

Emily

Blunt

 

"Queen Victoria"

 

The Young Victoria

Abbie

Cornish

 

"Fanny Brawne"

 

Bright Star

Mélanie

Laurent

 

"Shoshanna"

 

Inglourious Basterds

osc_cotillard.jpg

osc_youngvic.jpg

osc_cornish.jpg

osc_melanie.jpg

6

7

8

9

Needs

 

Everyone to buy into the category fraud. Because she needs every

vote to beat Mirren

Needs

 

Voters to not bother with The Last Station. And for Oscar's

love of "Royals" to pull her in

Needs

 

Voters to see Bright Star and think about quality of acting

rather than fame or which characters they "like"

Needs

 

Basterds fans to rank her #1 and for those actors in SAG who voted

for Basterds to be reflective of Oscar's actors branch

34

years old

 

35 films

 

1 nom / 1 win

 

 

 

prev rank:

 

6,6,9,*

Other

Awards

 

(noms) Globe, Satellite, BFCA*in supporting

 

Release

 

Dec 18th

 

Box Office

 

$250,000

 

Company

 

Weinstein Co

 

Role

 

Luisa Contini, retired actress and long suffering wife

 

 

 

More on...

 

Cotillard

| Nine

 

 

26

years old

 

13 films

 

never nominated

prev

rank:

 

unranked

Other

Awards

 

(noms) Globe, BFCA, Satellite

 

Release

 

Dec 20th

 

Box Office

 

$150,000

 

Company

 

Apparition

 

Role

 

Real Person Alert! Queen Victoria, learning

to rule, falling in love...

More

on

 

Blunt

| Young

Victoria

 

27

years old

 

10 films

 

never nominated

prev

rank:

 

7,5,4,5,3,2,2,4

Other

Awards

 

(noms) Satellite

 

Release

 

Sept 16th

 

Box Office

 

$4,000,000

 

Company

 

Apparition

 

Role

 

Real Person Alert! Fanny,

headstrong clothes maker and devoted fan of a poet if not poetry

 

 

 

More on

 

Abbie

| Bright

Star

 

 

 

26

years old

 

22 films

 

never nominated

 

 

 

prev rank:

 

8,14,-,-,-,-,-,-

 

 

 

Other

Awards

 

(wins) Austin

 

Release

 

Aug 21st

 

Box Office

 

$120,000,000

 

Company

 

Weinstein Co

 

Role

 

Shosanna Dreyfus

More

on...

 

Basterds

 

 

 

Better

Luck Next Year

 

It looked good on paper or onscreen. But it didn't take for various reasons...

here's why.

 

 

10

SAOIRSE RONAN The Lovely Bones (prev rank: 13,13,

7,7,8,-,-,-) * BFCA double nominee

 

The film got poor reviews, didn't open wide which might have helped

it (box office can help) and Oscar doesn't usually skew this

young in best actress anyway. They'd need a real reason to do so.

 

11 HILARY SWANK Amelia (prev rank: 10,8,4,4,3,11,14)

*Hollywood Festival Award

 

The film got vicious reviews and period pieces have never done much

for her as an actress anyway.

 

12 MICHELLE PFEIFFER Chéri (prev rank:

9,9,6,7,6,6,4,5)

 

The film got middling reviews, tanked at the box office and (unrelated)

Miramax folded which meant no campaign.

 

13 TILDA SWINTON Julia (prev rank: 11,11,10,10,11,-,-,-)

 

 

The film was too abrasive for the largely middlebrow tastes of most

every precursor group. Even the more adventurous criticis groups didn't

rally in her support. This last part is much harder to figure. Much

harder by about 1000 times. Obviously critics are fallible... especially

when they let Oscar prognostication color their ideas of "best".

 

14 PENELOPE CRUZ Broken Embraces (prev rank:

12,15,15,14,14,22,17,16 ) * Satellite nominee

 

Because of Nine.

 

15 CATALINA SAVEEDRA The Maid (prev rank:

unranked) * Satellite nominee

 

Because she's not a glamourous movie star. And because it's a foreign

language film.

 

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Os vencedores do Satellite:

 

Motion Picture, Drama

* The Hurt Locker

Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical

* Nine

Director

* Kathryn Bigelow — The Hurt Locker

Actress In A Motion Picture, Drama

* Shohreh Aghdashloo — The Stoning of Soraya M.

Actor In A Motion Picture, Drama

* Jeremy Renner — The Hurt Locker

Actress In A Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical

* Meryl Streep — Julie & Julia

Actor In A Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical

* Michael Stuhlbarg — A Serious Man

Actress In A Supporting Role

* Mo’nique — Precious

Actor In A Supporting Role

* Christoph Waltz — Inglourious Basterds

Motion Picture, Foreign Language Film

* The Maid Chile
* Broken Embraces Spain

Screenplay, Original

* Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber — (500) Days of Summer

Screenplay, Adapted

* Geoffrey Fletcher — Precious

Motion Picture, Animated or Mixed Media

* Fantastic Mr. Fox

Motion Picture, Documentary

* Every Little Step

Original Score

* Rolfe Kent Up in the Air

Original Song

* “The Weary Kind” — Crazy Heart

Cinematography

* Dion Beebe Nine

Visual Effects

* 2012

Film Editing

* The Hurt Locker

Sound (Mixing & Editing)

* 2012

Art Direction & Production Design

* A Single Man

Costume Design

* The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus


----

 

Vi Julie e Julia esse fim de semana. Que filminho mais ou menos... dá até de assistir em alguns momentos mas no geral é um pouco irritante. A personagem da Amy Adams é ingrata, mas ao menos ela faz o que pode. Já a Streep faz caras e bocas em praticamente todas as cenas, não sei porque ela vai ganhar o oscar por isso. Até numa cena onde a personagem simplesmente recebe uma carta do correio (e que não sabia o que era) ela faz questão de soltar algum berro exagerado ou fazer alguma contorção com o rosto. Sem contar que é uma atuação bem repetitiva, imo.

 

---

 

Edit:

 

osc_cornish.jpg

 

Needs


Voters to see Bright Star and think about quality of acting rather than fame or which characters they "like"

 

03.

 
Beckin2009-12-21 11:16:19
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Eu acho que Avatar vai entrar na categoria de roteiro por pura tabela. Não vi o filme ainda pra dizer se merece ou não, mas se emplacar no resto acredito que tenha boas chances também, só pra "aumentar o número"...

 

--

 

Parece que os Weistein agora tão fazendo campanha pra Melanie como coadjuvante:

 

 

E aí uma publicação da Entertainment Weekly dizendo por que a "atriz errada" de Basterds foi indicada ao Sag, com uns comentários bem bacanas sobre a atuação dela:

 

The SAG nominees: Why they chose the wrong actress from 'Inglourious Basterds'

shosanna-dreyfus_320.jpg?w=300&h=225

I thought the Screen Actors Guild showed more or less impeccable taste in their nominations this year (though for Best Cast, how could they have possibly forsaken the sublimely acted Up in the Air…and picked the hot warblers of Nine instead?). So in drawing attention to one performer, in particular, whom they left out of the Best Supporting Actress category, I solemnly promise you that I won’t exploit the s-word. (I’ll at least say it out loud once: snub.) What I will note is that this particular omission is worth talking about, if only because I flat-out adore this performance and I suspect that many others do too.

Take a look, for a moment, at the image just above. The woman in it is dressed — and poised — to kill, so when you first see her, there’s no question that she looks like a classic Quentin Tarantino heroine, maybe some apprentice vixen warming up to star in Kill Bill 2015. But look closer at the face: the delicate cheekbones and pensive rosebud mouth, the nearly Chaplinesque almond eyes. That’s not the mien of a born killer; it’s the pose of a sensitive, thoughtful young woman who’s been pushed to the brink, and still nurses a doubt or two about going there. That’s Mélanie Laurent in Inglourious Basterds, inventing what amounts to a new screen type: the vengeful nice Jewish girl next door. And it’s that special balance — between sweetness and fire, with ferocity made wistful — that renders this tenderly tough performance so memorable.

In the film, when Laurent, as escaped-French-Jewish-refugee-turned-Paris-movie- theater-owner Shosanna Dreyfus, puts on that dress, and applies lipstick to match, preparing for the big night in which she’ll attempt to blow up her own theater because the Nazi high command (including Hitler) will be there, Tarantino captures her cosmetic transformation from innocent girl in hiding to blood-red undercover vamp by playing the great 1982 David Bowie-Giorgio Moroder collaboration “Cat People (Putting Out Fire).” It’s a song that is soaring, operatic, transcendent — and, in Inglourious Basterds, it becomes an anthem of noirish dread and excitement, a sign that Laurent, as Shosanna, has found her destiny.

Before that, though, she’s a touching and fascinating waif-temptress, pure of heart but with too many things to hide. She must fend off the advances of an eager, rather doltish young Nazi war hero, and she also finds herself face to face with Christoph Waltz’s Hans Landa, the impishly deductive SS colonel who, three years before, murdered the rest of her family. Does the all-knowing Landa now know that it’s her? During their café chat, over strudel and cream, he just about sparkles with politely sadistic interrogative glee, and Laurent, as Shosanna, volleys back his question and squirms — exquisitely. This is high-tension acting, and when the scene is over, and Shosanna practically collapses in a rush of fear and relief, the audience is bonded to her.

None of which is to say that Diane Kruger, who costars in Inglourious Basterds as Bridget von Hammersmark, a celebrity German actress-turned-allied secret agent, is anything less than terrific. She’s the one who received the SAG nomination for Best Supporting Actress, and I applaud her for it. (The Weinstein Company may have positioned Laurent as a contender for Best Actress; in an ensemble piece like this one, where no one role commands too much screen time, that was surely a mistake.) Yet if Kruger is deft and gorgeous, Laurent is radiant and, in a unique Tarantino way, heartbreaking. During her final speech, which is seen on film — a declaration to the Nazis that their reign of rage is over — Tarantino shoots her like the Wizard of Oz, as a giant hovering black-and-white face. Sexy and luminous in the heat of her valor. Putting out fire — and setting it.

Beckin2009-12-21 11:21:43
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Acho isso tão desrespeitoso... Owen Gleiberman já foi melhor. "Atriz errada" o car****. Diane Kruger também estava excelente no filme. Uma ganha, outra perde. Azar o de Mélanie, que havia sido campanhada como Atriz principal (tem até peça FYC para comprovar).

 

-----

 

2012 com melhores efeitos que D9 e Avatar? Jesus... 14

 

 

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Humor em "j & J" tem bem pouco.

By the way, estranhei a interpretação de Streep aqui...afff!

Parecia dublagem p/  animação!

 

Anyway, duvido que uma novata negra leve!...

Quem sabe Mirren...

 

Apresentação do Gervais! 16

 

 
MariaShy2009-12-21 12:30:19
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O Fábio Barreto sofreu um acidente gravíssimo e está entre a vida e a morte.  Isso tudo poucas semanas antes de lançar o filme que deve ter a maior bilheteria do cinema brasileiro e que deve nos levar de novo ao Oscar.

 

Não nós levará, uma das condições que o Lula impôs aos produtores do filme para que se houvesse permissão de realiza-lo foi de que a pelicula não fosse inscrita em nenhuma lista para concorrer ao Oscar.
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Estava lendo um texto interessantíssimo sobre o fato de Bright Star, Jane Campion e Abbie Cornish estarem sendo esnobadas das premiações. Críticos e algumas mulheres discutiram o fato:

 

 

Sasha Stone:

 

I’m a bit horrified that Jane Campion’s Bright Star

was ignored.  On the other hand, it is an extremely competitive year

for women and in that way, be careful what you wish for.  The one woman

who is playing in the big leagues, Kathryn Bigelow, didn’t direct a

gender-based film at all; in fact, her film, like most of her films, is

all about the men.

 

 

Caryn James

It’s true that awards rarely honor subtlety, male or female, and that has hurt Bright Star.

 

Susan Wloszczyna

I root for Jane Campion since she is one of a kind and a

true artist. That butterfly scene alone is worth an Oscar. But I think

it was the wrong kind of movie at the wrong time, as good as Abbie

Cornish was.

 

 

 

 

Eles ainda comentam um dos principais problemas é que poucos viram o filme. Obviamente, é um filme de autor, pequeno, fechado. E não duvido que tenha sido visto por poucos. Uma pena.

 

 

 

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Anyway, duvido que uma novata negra leve!... [/quote']

Jennifer Hudson, alguém?

 

(tá certo que era coadjuvante, mas...)

Halle Berry

Me referia a esse caso especificamente, uma negra novata concorrer com veteranas como Streep e vencer...

Indicações p/ coajuvantes negros chovem...ainda que sejam poucos os vencedores.

 

By the way, torço muito e acho que tem boas chances a atriz negra coadjuvante Mo'Nique (Precious)

 
MariaShy2009-12-21 16:25:33
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O Fábio Barreto sofreu um acidente gravíssimo e está entre a vida e a morte.  Isso tudo poucas semanas antes de lançar o filme que deve ter a maior bilheteria do cinema brasileiro e que deve nos levar de novo ao Oscar.

 

Será o preço por ter feito tamanha ofensa ao cinema??? 06

 

Ok, piada infame de humor negro Guidon. Não surte!

 

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Avatar é lindo' date=' deslumbrante... mas o roteiro é pobre, pobre. A comparação é mesmo com Titanic, que não foi indicado a roteiro.[/quote']

 

Não foi indicado, infelizmente, sendo que era mil vezes superior ao eventual vencedor, o bobo Gênio Indomável.

 

Com texto ainda melhor (pobre por quê?), tomara que Avatar não seja ignorado.

 

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St. Louis Film Critics winners:

Best Picture: “Up in the Air”

Best Actor: George Clooney in “Up in the Air”

Best Actress: Carey Mulligan in “An Education”

Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds”

Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique in “Precious”

Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow for “The Hurt Locker”

Best Screenplay: Scott Neustadlter and Michael H. Weber for “(500) Days of Summer”

Best Cinematography: Dion Beebe for “Nine”

Best Music: “Nine”

Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”

Best Foreign Language Film: “Red Cliff”

Best Documentary: “Capitalism: A Love Story”

Best Comedy: “The Hangover”

Best Animated Film: “Up”

Most Original, Innovative or Creative Film: “Avatar”

Favorite Scene: The marriage montage in “Up”

 

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O Fábio Barreto sofreu um acidente gravíssimo e está entre a vida e a morte.  Isso tudo poucas semanas antes de lançar o filme que deve ter a maior bilheteria do cinema brasileiro e que deve nos levar de novo ao Oscar.
Será o preço por ter feito tamanha ofensa ao cinema??? smileys/06.gif" align="absmiddle" alt="06" />Ok' date=' piada infame de humor negro Guidon. Não surte![/quote']

 

 

 

Tinha que ser o Fe 06.gif06.gif06.gif

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Dizem que Streep fez uma interpretação perfeita da Julia Child...

 

Pode até ser xerox da Julia Child, mas isso por si só não me agrada. Tem que ter algo a mais por tras destes maneirismos, vozes e etc. Sei lá, mas geralmente uma atuação não me comove quando eu deixo de me imergir na narrativa pela distração que a mesma se torna, não por  estar necessariamente mal no papel, mas sim por ser algo meio forçado mesmo. E nem é tanto pelo fator over-the-top, é mais pela própria abordagem pessoal que a Streep usou neste filme em particular, que não me agradou.

 

 

---

 

Não sabia que Titanic não tinha sido indicado a roteiro. O mesmo pode vir acontecer a Avatar então.

 

Sobre Bright Star, ainda teve o problema do filme ter sido muito mal distribuído. Pra se ter um exemplo, a distribuidora de lá não vai lançar o filme da Campion nem em BD (ao menos por agora), só em dvd mesmo, por conveniência. Isso que dizem ser uma das produções mais bonitas lançadas em 2009...

Estreiou numa época não muito oportuna (deviam ter esperado até novembro, por aí) e essa distribuidora nunca tinha participado, senão me engano, da temporada de prêmios. Já começaram mal...
Beckin2009-12-21 21:34:54
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O Fábio Barreto sofreu um acidente gravíssimo e está entre a vida e a morte.  Isso tudo poucas semanas antes de lançar o filme que deve ter a maior bilheteria do cinema brasileiro e que deve nos levar de novo ao Oscar.
Será o preço por ter feito tamanha ofensa ao cinema??? Ok' date=' piada infame de humor negro Guidon. Não surte![/quote']

 

 

 

Tinha que ser o Fe 06.gif06.gif06.gif

 

06

 

Saudades Pa!

 

 

 

 

 

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