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Oscar 2010: Indicados e Previsões


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Grass Roots Campaign for Sam Rockwell

Posted by Sasha Stone On October - 24 - 2009

moon-oscar.jpg

Man Made Movies is gunning for an Oscar nod for Sam Rockwell in Moon and has put up an online petition.  With support from Slash Film and Jo Blo, they are reporting upwards of 1,000 signatures so far.  They’re hoping for 1,000,000.  The biggest problem here is that there aren’t enough much-needed reviews to back this up.

Unfortunately, these types of things, with the best of intentions, do not often result in Oscar nominations.  This is as good a time as any to talk about Oscar voter psychology, which I think I’ve become quite good at over the years (read as: I have no idea what I’m talking about).  Oscar voter psychology is not any different from general psychology of all people.  But here are some things you should know if you’re hoping to sway votes.

1. Never strong-arm them into voting for someone or something.  It doesn’t work at all.  Matter of fact, it has the reverse effect nine times out of ten.  The one time it does work, usually has to do with the person truly deserving to be nominated, in which case, they would have been noticed and nominated anyway.  Psychology reasoning for this: people hate to be told what to do in general.  No one wants to be thought of as stupid or out of touch.  If someone suggests such a thing, a voter (or person’s) likely response is, to quote Anton Chigurh, “You don’t know what you’re talking about, do you.”

2. Make them think it’s their idea.  Present all of the reasons a film or person is worthy without ever falling into the trap of saying “nominate them now because they deserve it!”  A typical response to that would be, Chigurh again.  You guessed it.  Remember, they are the ones with all of the power.  That means they can choose to wield it at any time, especially when others are insinuating that they don’t know what they’re doing.

3. Reverse psychology – it works quite well.   The old “this is the best film of the year but no way will the Academy nominate it.  It is the best film to come along in ten years but it’s too small, too dark, the genre isn’t right, no way will the Academy go for it.”  That works ten times better than “of course they’ll nominate it.  There is no way they can’t nominate it.”

4. Fans don’t get films or people nominated, if anything, publicists do.  A good publicist can work magic.  But usually if it is a crowded category, as Best Actor usually is, it’s tougher to squeeze in, what with all of those deserving candidates.  Here are the best categories to work magic in, ie, it’s possible to jigger the results: Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress, Best Original Screenplay, Original Sound, Editing and occasionally Cinematography.  By jigger the results, I mean that those categories aren’t always filled with the most proficient people/films, only the most popular – if they like the movie enough, those categories can reflect broad support.

5. There is no harm in trying but if you overplay your hand you hurt the contender’s chances.  By the time the Oscars roll around, and all of the awards shows have spoken, everything and everyone feels stale.  It’s a delicate line to walk — too much exposure can lead to an anti-climax.  Not enough exposure and they’re left in the dust.  The bottom line: it actually has to be not just a good performance, but an astonishing one.  And if it isn’t, the person better be a popular star in Hollywood (like Clooney or Eastwood, etc.)

So there you have it.  A quick and dirty, and quite lame attempt at deconstructing voter mentality.  We will be keeping an eye on the Sam Rockwell Oscar Watch to see if it plays out.  I haven’t seen his performance but I can tell you with a fair amount of certainty that if he is truly deserving, and better than the other Actor frontrunners, he will get in.

What do you think of grassroots Oscar campaigns?  Success or fail?

Finally, let’s talk briefly about the Best Actor race.  It is kind of impossible to talk about it since so many films have yet to be released with actors who may get noticed — Robert Downey, Jr., Morgan Freeman, Mark Wahlberg, etc.  Still, we have Jeremy Renner (himself in a bit of a grass roots campaign by sites like this one and others), we have Matt Damon, we have Michael Stuhlbarg for A Serious Man, and we have Colin Firth for A Single Man.  We should have Ben Wishaw for Bright Star but I’m not sure that is going to happen; his was among the most powerful performances I’ve seen this year.  There is, of course, George Clooney and Viggo Mortensen.

It is more than possible for Sam Rockwell to get in there.  But every year there are actors who give great performances but are in films no one ever sees.  Remember Jeff Goldblum in Adam Resurrected?  Frank Langella in Starting Out in the Evening?  Jim Carrey in ….pick any movie.  Oscar heat is Oscar heat, and sometimes there is nothing anyone, even the best publicist or most devoted fan can do about it.

Joe Morgenstern at the Wall Street Journal:

I won’t pretend to understand the movie’s deep meaning–if it has one–but I can say three things for sure: Mr. Rockwell gives a brilliant performance, the physical production is impressive and Moon made me think. Four things: It made me smile.

Bob Mondello:

The actor proves capable of embodying all sorts of contradictory impulses as his character becomes tragically self-aware. But he can’t overcome a plot that goes slack at precisely the moment it should be soaring, or a corporate-villainy premise that practically begs not to be looked at too closely.

AO Scott on Moon:

The film’s ideas are interesting, but don’t feel entirely worked out, and Mr. Rockwell’s intriguingly strange performance (or performances) is left suspended, without the context that would give Sam’s plight its full emotional and philosophical impact. The smallness of this movie is decidedly a virtue, but also, in the end, something of a limitation.

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Eu gosto do trabalho do Sam Rockwell. Em "Os Vigaristas" ele está ótimo, melhor que o Nicolas Cage. Seria bom se ele fosse indicado.

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Pois é' date=' tem um pessoal  que não gosta de clichês simplesmente por serem clichês, portanto só de serem utilizados já tornam algo ruin...

 

Já o post do Guidon foi relacionado a opinião do Fecamargo, acho.

 

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Vi o último filme do Woody, Whatever Works. Não é tão bom quanto Vicky Cristina Barcelona, mas eu gostei, não entendi a implicância com o mesmo. Adorei a interação entre a personagem da Evan Rachel Wood (ótima!) e do Larry David. Dá pra lembrar de vários quotes hilários só nas cenas desses dois, mas tem alguns outros personagens bacanas também, embora eu tenha gostado bem menos da segunda parte, quando esses outros aparecem, do que da primeira. SPOILER achei que o woody podia ter feito o fim do relacionamento entre a Melody e o Boris de uma forma mais interessante, aquele outro personagem que apareceu me pareceu uma saída muito fácil FIM DO SPOILER

 

Tem aquele roteiro característico do Woody, com direito ao personagem hipocondríaco, alguém envolvido com fotografia (ou alguma forma de arte) e por aí vai...  que é sempre bem vindo.
[/quote']

verdade. o Whatever cai consideravelmente na segunda metade. mas cai principalmente quando o foco sai um pouco que seja do David. o Allen fez um filme todinho dependente dele, isso por um lado é ruim, mas por outro (quando ele tá em cena) é ótimo. eu adorei, ri horrores "god is gay!" haha; e a Wood tá uma delicinha, xonei [/miguxês]

mas apesar de eu considerar Vicky um filme mais encorpado, esse Whatever me cativou bem mais. essa recepção meio de cara amarrada pra esse, eu acho que se deve muito a expectativa natural que o Allen gera, enquanto que Whatever é um filme simples, divertido, parecendo até bem despretensioso na sua forma.

 

Pois é. Por mais que a Patricia Clarkson teje fantástica as cenas dela não deixam de ser um engodo meio sem graça. Teria sido mais bacana ela morando lá na caso do Boris por mais tempo, porque quando teve interação entre os dois foi bacana. Mas que bom que ela teve mais destaque nesse aqui do que em VCB. Esse quote do god is gay é fantástico 06.

 

whatever me lembra uns filmes do woody mais dos anos 80 assim, com direito aos amigos na roda de bar pedindo pra se contar a história do cara como em Broadway Danny Rose, por exemplo. É bem despretensioso mesmo mas não deixa de ser um acrescento interessante na carreira dele. E também foi bacana ver o Larry David interpretando o "papel Woody", mas ainda quero assistir o próprio voltando pra tela grande pelo menos  mais uma vez, sempre gostei dele como ator também.

 

No fim eu prefiro Vicky mesmo, que tá no meu top 5 do woody talvez...
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Bah, valeu pela dica aí sobre Un prophète . Saiu o filme do Haneke por meios alternativos também, assim como Mother

 

Que bom saber que a Evan está ótima' date=' torço muito pela moça, ela estava excelente em True Blood.

 

Se filme criticado impedisse ator/atriz de ser indicado não teriamos várias indicações recentes.
[/quote']

 

Achei a atuação dela bem decepcionante em True Blood, embora a personagem tenha sido mal aproveitada mesmo (ao menos por enquanto). Mas aqui ela tá ótima, talvez a melhor atuação dela desde Pretty Persuasion. Algumas pessoas acham que a Evan tem mania de passar do ponto as vezes, mas eu gosto desse estilo meio exagerado dela, no filme do Woody mesmo, o sotaquezão e os trejeitos caíram muito bem
Beckin2009-10-25 10:07:14
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Bah' date=' valeu pela dica aí sobre Un prophète . Saiu o filme do Haneke por meios alternativos também, assim como Mother

 
[/quote']

 

Sabe se saiu o do Alain Resnais (Les Herbes Folles) ou o do Elia Suleiman (The Time That Remains)?

 

Mantenha-nos informado sobre o que sai pela internet ou, senão, me informa por MP.0603
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Espero que a Helen Mirren tome a vaga que a Hilary aparentemente deixou.

 

 

Helen Mirren takes Best Actress honors at the Rome Film Festival:

Helen Mirren won Rome’s Silver Marc’Aurelio award for best actress for her performance as Leo Tolstoy’s devoted wife in Michael Hoffman’s The Last Station. Gabriele Muccino presented the honour to Mirren, who brought the house down with an acceptance speech in Italian in which she cited the inspiration of Michelangelo Antonioni’s L’Avventura and that of the iconic actresses Monica Vitti, Claudia Cardinale, Stefania Sandrelli, Gina Lollobrigida and Sophia Loren. (
)

________________________________________________

 

 

Esse
The Last Station
tá vindo com ótima repercussão por onde passa, hein?

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British Independent Film Awards Nominations

 

an_education_nick_hornby.jpg

 


BEST BRITISH INDEPENDENT FILM
An Education
Fish Tank
In The Loop
Moon
Nowhere Boy

BEST DIRECTOR (Sponsored by The Creative Partnership)
Andrea Arnold – Fish Tank
Armando Iannucci – In The Loop
Duncan Jones – Moon
Jane Campion – Bright Star
Lone Scherfig – An Education

THE DOUGLAS HICKOX AWARD [bEST DEBUT DIRECTOR]
Armando Iannucci – In The Loop
Duncan Jones – Moon
Peter Strickland – Katalin Varga
Sam Taylor Wood – Nowhere Boy
Samantha Morton – The Unloved

BEST SCREENPLAY (Sponsored by BBC Films)
An Education – Nick Hornby
Fish Tank – Andrea Arnold
In The Loop – Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
Moon – Nathan Parker
Nowhere Boy – Matt Greenhalgh

BEST ACTRESS (Sponsored by M.A.C)
Abbie Cornish – Bright Star
Carey Mulligan – An Education
Emily Blunt – The Young Victoria
Katie Jarvis – Fish Tank
Sophie Okonedo – Skin

BEST ACTOR (Sponsored by Stolichnaya Elit)
Aaron Johnson – Nowhere Boy
Andy Serkis – Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll
Peter Capaldi – In The Loop
Sam Rockwell – Moon
Tom Hardy – Bronson

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anne-Marie Duff – Nowhere Boy
Kerry Fox – Bright Star
Kierston Wareing – Fish Tank
Kristin Scott Thomas – Nowhere Boy
Rosamund Pike – An Education

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (Sponsored by Stolichnaya)
Alfred Molina – An Education
Jim Broadbent – The Damned United
John Henshaw – Looking for Eric
Michael Fassbender – Fish Tank
Tom Hollander – In The Loop

MOST PROMISING NEWCOMER
Christian McKay – Me & Orson Welles
Edward Hogg – White Lightnin’
George MacKay – The Boys Are Back
Hilda Péter – Katalin Varga
Katie Jarvis – Fish Tank

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN PRODUCTION
Bronson
Bunny & The Bull
The Hide
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Katalin Varga

RAINDANCE AWARD (Sponsored by Raindance)
Colin
The Disappearance of Alice Creed
Down Terrace
Exam
They Call It Acid

BEST TECHNICAL ACHIEVEMENT (Sponsored by 3 Mills Studios)
Bright Star – Cinematography – Greig Fraser
Bunny & The Bull – Production Design – Gary Williamson
Fish Tank – Cinematography – Robbie Ryan
Moon – Original Score – Clint Mansell
Moon – Production Design – Tony Noble

BEST DOCUMENTARY (Sponsored by Chapter Media)
The Age of Stupid
The End of The Line
Mugabe and The White African
Sons of Cuba
Sounds Like Teen Spirit

BEST BRITISH SHORT
Christmas with Dad
Leaving
Love You More
Sidney Turtlebaum
Washdays

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Il Divo
The Hurt Locker
Let The Right One In
Sin Nombre
The Wrestler

 

THE RICHARD HARRIS AWARD (for outstanding contribution to British Film):
Daniel Day Lewis
Ronny2009-10-26 14:47:21
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Nossa (para a imensa quantidade de indicações a Fish Tank)! Não acho esse filme merecedor de tanto alarde nem a pau e em nenhum sentido; é correto e só.

 

Acho que tão querendo empurrá-lo para o Oscar. Só isso explica como preteriram a Brenda Blethyn em prol da Katie Jarvis (que tá bem, mas... nhéééééé).
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Bastantes nomes bons aí nessa lista... nem sabia que iam lançar esse filme da Kristin Scott Thomas esse ano. Abbie cornish aparecendo, ae.

 

 

Bah' date=' valeu pela dica aí sobre Un prophète . Saiu o filme do Haneke por meios alternativos também, assim como Mother

 
[/quote']

 

Sabe se saiu o do Alain Resnais (Les Herbes Folles) ou o do Elia Suleiman (The Time That Remains)?

 

Mantenha-nos informado sobre o que sai pela internet ou, senão, me informa por MP.0603

 

Assim que eu souber falo sim 06,  mas acho que nenhum dos dois saíram não. O dos Resnais vai ser lançado na França agora nas próximas duas semanas parece, então deve demorar um tempinho a aparecer em boa qualidade.

 

 
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Saiu o trailer do novo do Eastwood, o Invictus:

 

 

 

Também saiu o trailer do novo do Greengrass, Green zone:

 

 

Ambos com o Damon. O cara não para hein ? Além desses já tá fazendo outro com o Eastwood e se juntou ao elenco do novo dos Coen.
Beckin2009-10-27 22:37:53
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Parece que não é elegível não, segundo o Tom O'neil.

 

Trailer de Cracks, com a Eva Green, dirigido pela filha do Ridley Scott:

 

 

Não vai ser indicado a nada etc, mas a Eva parece ótima ali, assim como o elenco. E o filme pode vir a ser bonzinho sim
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