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Oscar 2009: Previsões


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No awardsdaily tem um vídeo de três minutos da nova animação da Disney - Bolt. Um cachorrinho branco super poderoso. O vídeo que é na realidade uma cena do filme é ótimo!!! Talvez bata de frente com o Pixar. Vamos aguardar...

 

Mudando de assunto:

 

Baz Bamigboye, responsável pelo MailOnline esteve no test screening de Revolutionary Road no final de Setembro e só agora foi autorizado a falar algumas linhas. Ele se reservou apenas as atuações e disse que Winslet atingiu a grandiosidade no filme e será indicada ao Oscar. Segundo ele, DiCaprio também será indicado ao Oscar pelo filme.

FeCamargo2008-10-17 17:38:56

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Previsões do David Poland, que recentemente se meteu num bate-boca público com Kris Tapley...

 

darkknight3.jpg

 

 

20

Weeks to Oscar

 

VOTE

FOR...

 

Oh, Wait A Minute...

 

It's

a very odd time to be talking Oscar.

We're 19 days

away from the Presidential election, but 20 weeks from the Academy

Awards.  And the studios know it.  It's

been over a month since Toronto and two weeks since my last set

of charts and in that time… very little has changed. 

Of the ten or so films legitimately in the Best Picture race, only

Slumdog Millionaire and The Dark Knight are actually

available for viewing by most voters and/or journalists. 

 

 

 

The Charts

 

Picture

| Director

| Screenplay

 

Actor

| Actress

| Supporting

Actress | Supporting

Actor

 

 

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Heath Ledger vai concorrer por coadjuvante mesmo:

That's the official word this morning from Warner Bros. as to how Heath Ledger will be campaigned for his riveting performance as the Joker in The Dark Knight. To which I say: smart move. I know some people were pulling for a Best Actor placement for the late star, but that just didn't feel right to me (nor, apparently, to the Warner Bros. people). Sure, Ledger had tons of screen time and is certainly the most memorable thing about the film. But the movie is called The Dark Knight, not The Joker. The only Best Actor candidate here should be Christian Bale.

But the most important thing to consider is his chance at the win. I doubt he'd have a shot at beating The Wrestler's Mickey Rourke, or Milk's Sean Penn, or Frost/Nixon's Frank Langella in the Best Actor race. But in the supporting category, his strongest likely competitor is Doubt's Philip Seymour Hoffman, coincidentally the man who defeated Ledger for Best Actor the only other time Ledger was nominated, for Brokeback Mountain. While Hoffman's Capote performance was the sure bet back then, this time it could be a true toss-up.

http://oscar-watch.ew.com/2008/10/heath-ledger-10.html
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Ok, acho que a vitória do Ledger está quase certa... Não só há o lado de se premiar um filme-estouro para arrecadar audiência, mas acho que todos os membros vão sentir aquele "é agora ou nunca" na hora de votar pra melhor coadjuvante. Pelo menos da minha parte, já vejo a concorrência do Ledger com uma certa raivinha, mas talvez seja só eu, já que acho que sou um dos únicos daqui que não liga tanto pra "justiças imediatas" no Oscar. Só espero que nenhum trouxa adie essa chance pensando no filme do Terry Gilliam, a parceria anterior dos dois foi sofrível...

 
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Love Pours In

"It's interesting to see how each of the actors exhibit their own distinct variation of portraying gay men," says a Playlist review of Gus Van Sant's Milk (Focus Features, 12.5). "Diego Luna is the most flamboyant, James Franco is understated, and Emile Hirsch is the most precocious. And playing the father figure to these Lost Boys is Sean Penn, who has Milk's exaggerated podium gestures and Long Island accent down perfectly.

milkplaylist.jpg

"Penn does a magnificent job of dividing himself in two, as Milk had to also manage, splitting his time and attention between his personal life and his career as a political figure; and on top of that even his career was divided. He was a sidewalk activist who worked for the government and preferred it this way.

"Delivering perhaps the most unexpected performance is Josh Brolin as city supervisor Dan White who murdered both Milk and Mayor Moscone (played by Victor Garber). It is hinted that maybe Dan White was a closet case and jealous of Milk's freedom. Brolin gives just enough evidence that this might be true before covering it up quickly, hiding it almost too well.

"Brolin's turn makes you really feel empathy for White and understand the pressure he underwent. He watched Milk succeed in making sure Proposition 6 was not passed, and yet he couldn't get a simple pay raise."

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Aquilo sobre jogá-lo para principal' date=' foi algum boato de bloggers... o estúdio não seria burro a esse ponto. [/quote']

 

Pois é. Se ele tem chances, é como coadjuvante, limitadas, mas pode ser.

 

 

 

Como assim? O Ledger tá liderando quase todas as apostas em coadjuvante, foi aclamado pela crítica e ajudou a fazer de TDK o maior sucesso dos últimos anos. Se ele não é o favorito quem é então?
BrnoSoares2008-10-17 23:21:23
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Vc acha que o preconceito q a academia tem por blockbusters vai atrapalhar é isso? Eu acho que a categoria promete ser fraca esse ano, não vejo adversário a altura. Talvez o Philip Seymour Hoffman, mas ele já tem o Oscar dele...

Quem vc acha que é o favorito então??
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Daqui a alguns dias as premiações dos críticos começam e Ledger será lembrado na grande maioria. Daí vem indicações pro GG, SAG e finalmente o Oscar. O caminho já está traçado, não tem mais jeito não.

 

Basta saber se o premiarão, porque se fosse um papel mais convencional elogiado da mesma forma o cara seria imbatível, mas trata-se do Coringa. Se a Academia se render ao Batman por completo em Filme, Diretor e Roteiro aí não tem o que pensar e é Ledger na cabeça. Do contrário, sua vitória não estará garantida até o último segundo.

 

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Movie Reviews: W.

17 October 2008 10:35 AM, PDT

Somewhat surprisingly W. has turned out to be director Oliver Stone's

best-reviewed film in ages. Roger Ebert in the Chicago Sun-Times awards it four stars and calls it "fascinating." And he suggests that

unlike other Stone biographies, this one about President Bush, contains "not

a line of dialogue that sounds like malicious fiction. It's all pretty much

as published accounts have prepared us for." However, Manohla Dargis in the

New York Times reminds her readers that the movie is, after all, "a

work of imagination," and she adds: "It says nothing new or insightful about

the president, his triumphs and calamities. (As if anyone goes to an Oliver

Stone movie for a reality check.) But it does something most journalism and

even documentaries can't or won't do: it reminds us what a long, strange

trip it's been to the Bush White House." Josh Brolin's portrayal of the

president receives nearly universal praise. Joe Morgenstern in the Wall

Street Journal writes, "Mr. Brolin's performance is hugely enjoyable."

Claudia Puig in USA Today comments that Brolin "gives a strong and

credible impersonation of George W. and brings the man to life." Lou

Lumenick in the New York Post says, "Josh Brolin is superb." And Joe

Neumaier in the New York Daily News calls Brolin's performance

"nuanced yet piercing." But Bob Strauss in the Los Angeles Daily News

suggests that Stone may have leaned over backwards to provide a "balanced"

look at the president. He writes: "Buying the administration's story that

Bush really did believe Saddam had WMDs until well after the Iraq invasion

is one thing; making a Bush movie that doesn't dramatize 9/11 nor mention

the historic 2000 election controversy is negligent at best - and craven if

it was left out in hopes of dodging partisan criticism." And Ann Hornada in

the Washington Post suggests that the title could have stood for

"Why?" As she puts it: "Why this movie -- a rushed, wildly uneven, tonally

jumbled caricature -- and why now? Why, when Americans and citizens around

the globe are still coming to terms with the implications of so many Bush

policies, would they want to pay money at the box office to see what amounts

to an extended Saturday Night Live skit?"

-felipe-2008-10-18 00:34:53

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True story: a conversation among three or four guys with film-industry ties happened a couple of days ago in a major southern-region city. Included was a sound mixer who's been around a couple of decades and knows some formidable people. The subject was upcoming movies, and the sound mixer interjected at one point, "Guys, guys, I've seen the Best Picture Oscar winner, okay? And it's Benjamin Button." You've seen the whole thing? he was asked. "I've seen most of it and that's enough," he answered. "Forget it, it's over. It's an eight-hankie movie and it's going to win."

curious-case-of-benjamin-button-552x235.jpg

 

 
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Acho que existe um forte elenco coadjuvante em "Milk"' date=' com destaque pro Broslin, e o Hoffman é um grande nome, mesmo já com Oscar, pode ganhar, enfim, não acho nada garantido pro Ledger. [/quote']

 

Garantido é claro que não existe coisa alguma, quantas vezes já vimos favoritos absolutos serem destronados nos 45 minutos do segundo tempo? Mas que ele é favorito com larga antecipação e aparentemente é merecedor de tamanha expectativa, isso ele é. E nada impede essa indicação/vitória. Não seria a primeira indicação póstuma (James Dean, por East of Eden e Giant, tendo merecido ambos, mesmo não tendo levado) nem a primeira vitória (Peter Finch, por Network). Acho que ele é o nome a ser batido mesmo.
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